Archive for October, 2005

Oct 31 2005

Bill Thompson is a farging TWIT!

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This isn’t the first time that this chump has pissed me off! This narrow-minded munchkin is …. words fail me.

Bill Thompson’s column

Awards for Silver Surfers and online usability should promote internet design and use. But, apparently, they haven’t yet.
What are your experiences with software design? What can the over 50s contribute to the internet?

I’ve been contributing to Computer Science, Computer Comunications, and the Internet since 1977 and I haven’t stopped yet. This guy’s a twerp and needs a good caneing.

For those that don’t know what I’m on about, check my birthdate.

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Oct 30 2005

I have the nom de plume, <lj user=”johan_de_ronin”> is now live!

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At least, that’s out of the way ;)

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Oct 30 2005

HOOOOoooo boych!

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It took the guys at Sluggy to remind me about deadlines. Pete and Thyla are crunching through to hit the Christmas market with their new book. I am supposed to be doing the same with the Three-fold Path. Between being sick and the distractions of the new job interview, this hasn’t been happening. The last few days I have been working on everything but the book.

I actually have four book projects

  1. Three-fold path: Djinn – 4Q05
  2. Arcturus Bound – World building – hiatus
  3. Ancient Future – Background study/world building (the Ice Age stuff)
  4. A Technical Book project – 2Q06

I’ve been playing with 3 & 4 lately, along with AdventureQuest, to the detriment of 1 and 1 is a priority if I’m going to have it on Amazon by end of November.

Now where did that grindstone go ….

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Oct 29 2005

Ice Age civilizations … where?

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Using some prior research results, I put together this image of what the old shoreline looked like about 12,000 years ago, at the end of the late Pleistocene. Yeah, it’s not definitive because I can’t find the old links. I only have the results and not the actual research, which is in a comp that’s still in storage. The original research was done in 2002-2003, while I was in Simi Valley.

The black lines represent the present day shoreline.

Note that the submerged cities that I linked yesterday are all on the “right” location for an Ice Age civilization. That is, on the shoreline as it was 12,000 years ago.

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Oct 28 2005

Atlantean myth?

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Edit: Added some links and quotes, further research results

It’s almost a footnote in this article but it has deep implications.

Since the tsunami on 26 December, marine archaeologists have also discovered evidence of large structures on the seabed up to 1km out to sea.

They think the structures may be part of a former, legendary city of Mahabalipuram.

Myths state the city was destroyed by a flood sent by gods envious of its beauty.

It means one thing for a city to be swept by tsunamis. Afterwards, they are still above sealevel. In this case, the ruins are a full kilometer out to sea. The only way this could happen is that the sea rose over the city permanently. Considering that this is the Indian Ocean, Occam’s Razor implies a global sea level rise, rather than a local occurance. The last such global occurance was at the end of the Pleistocene (aka. the end of the last Ice Age), where global sealevels rose 10-30 meters (30-90 feet), about 10-12 thousand years ago. There is no way, that I know of, that these ruins could possibly be more modern then that.

… Hancock, who says a scientist has told him it could be 6,000 years old.

Durham University geologist Glenn Milne told him in an e-mail: “I had a chat with some of my colleagues here in the dept. of geological sciences and it is probably reasonable to assume that there has been very little vertical tectonic motion in this region [i.e. the coastal region around Mahabalipuram] during the past five thousand years or so. Therefore, the dominant process driving sea-level change will have been due to the melting of the Late Pleistocene ice sheets. Looking at predictions from a computer model of this process suggests that the area where the structures exist would have been submerged around six thousand years ago. Of course, there is some uncertainty in the model predictions and so there is a flexibility of roughly plus or minus one thousand years in this date.”

What this states is that official doctrine, holding that civilization started with Sumeria and there that were no prior civilizations, is completely wrong! These same eggheads are insistent that agriculture could not possibly have existed before 10,000 years ago. Sumer was founded about six thousand years ago. There are quite a few famous PhDs that are going to be upset about this and will take great efforts to rationalise this within doctrine and their favorite pet theories. The reason that those ruins in the Bermuda Triangle were ignored, as probable natural formations, is largely because of this doctrine. If they are indeed ancient roadbeds, under the sea, then they would have to have been built before the seas rose over them. There is insuffient evidence to support the land sinking into the sea and, given the above doctrine, those roads must be natural formations (even though no mechanism for their natural formation has even been postulated), or so goes the rationalisation.

I’ve always held that such a doctrine doesn’t make sense. Given the nature of humans and the fact that we achieved our present state of evolution over 120,000 years ago, it is unlikely that mankind deigned to live off nuts and berries for over 90,000 years. As a species, we are just too generally lazy for that and we like our comforts too much. Getting back to the evidence, you cannot have cities without agriculture. It’s a necessary ingredient. Also, you cannot have just one city or it never becomes a city. Cities are trade centers.

If there is one then there are many more. I suspect that the bottom of the South China sea, and the coast off the Malaysian penninsula will also yield results. If it does then they also had reasonably efficient trans-oceanic travel. Now old stories of Atlantis, Iss, Lyonesse, and the Seven Rishi Cities don’t sound so much like fables as they do very ancient history (I ignore modern tales of Lemuria, as pure fiction). Further, that those may indeed be roadbeds, under the sea in Bermuda, and they may indeed point to the location of Atlantis or another contemperaneous city site. Up until this time, most archeologists ignore the submarine coasts because current doctrine says that there was no civilization before Sumer.

This also pounds a very large nail into the Intelligent Design school, that maintains that everything was created only 7,000 years ago, based on bibilical interpretation. The bible mentions no civilization prior to Sumer.

It is my thought that there was a civilization at the end of the Pleistocene. That it was coastally oriented and that it got wiped out by the gradually rising sealevel of the global warming trend. This includes farms, villages, and cities, most of which are now lost under 10,000 years of oceanic silt. That it took only 4,000 years to restart that civilization on higher ground, in Sumeria. There may have been other complications as well, like a massive human population die-back caused by an order of magnituide increase in atmospheric CO2 (the CO2 rise is well documented as an associated effect of the end of the Ice Age).

Looking at the current warming trend, it looks like it’s happening again. :(

Also see:

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Oct 27 2005

nicked from <lj user=”desertrat66″>

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Your brain: 120% interpersonal, 120% visual, 60% verbal, and 100% mathematical!
Congratulations on being 400% smart! Actually, on my test, everyone is. The above score breaks down what kind of thinking you most enjoy doing. A score above 100% means you use that kind of thinking more than average, and a score below 100% means you use it less. It says nothing about how good you are at any one, just how interested you are in each, relatively. A substantial difference in scores between two people means, conclusively, that they are different kinds of thinkers.

Matching Summary: Each of us has different tastes. Still, I offer the following advice, which I think is obvious:

  1. Don’t date someone if your interpersonal percentages differ by more than 80%.
  2. Don’t be friends with someone if your verbal percentages differ by more than 100%.
  3. Don’t have sex with someone if their math percentage is over 200%.

My test tracked 4 variables How you compared to other people your age and gender:

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You scored higher than 72% on interpersonal
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You scored higher than 57% on visual
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You scored higher than 27% on verbal
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You scored higher than 45% on mathematical

Link: The 4-Variable IQ Test written by chriscoyne on OkCupid Free Online Dating, home of the 32-Type Dating Test

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Oct 27 2005

The price of oil exploration is going up?!?!

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I have a serious problem with this.

This wasn’t mentioned directly but, through other sources, I know that the oil companies haven’t done any exploration on over 10 years. The reason is that exploration is expensive and they’d rather take the profits.

Now, put that together with the fact that the last three years have shown record level oil company profits, which they are pocketing.

In this article, it is implied that Arctic circle exploration will be multiples more expensive than normal exploration and that governments should foot at least a part of the bill.

Uh, wait a holdit. Isn’t that what the assholes should be doing with the profits that they are currently raking in? They get to milk us for record profits and then we have to pay them to do the exploration that they should have been doing all along?

Does anyone else see my problem with this?

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Oct 27 2005

The Iraq invasion

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I don’t often write about this but last night I got into a discussion with on the subject and in the course, I basically wrote out my entire thesis on the war. Mostly, this post is so that I can find it again ;)

To summarize;

  • I don’t think the US should have invaded Iraq.
  • Since the deed is done, the US is obligated to remain there until the country is back to being as stable as it was before the invasion, at the minimum.
  • That this is regardless of the US lives it costs. The US owes this to the Iraqi civilians living in Iraq, for destabilizing their government in the first place.
  • No, I don’t think the US did the Iraqis any favors and it still isn’t. The US now owes a huge obligation to the Iraqi people. It will take a long time to satisfy this obligation. This is the obligation of the conqueror, towards the conquered.
  • If the US abandons the Iraq project then it should face economic sanctions and possible war crimes charges. This is not for being there, as they legally are, but for destabilizing the region. This is the reason that the UN, France, and others didn’t want to go there, in spite of existing UN resolutions. Bush was told and he didn’t want to see.

What didn’t come up, directly, in that discussion;

  • This obligation extends to Iraq’s neighbors, including Syria and Iran, to stabilize Iraq before leaving.
  • This whole thing never was about “oil”. Iraq already was under-producing due to UN sanctions already in place. It is producing less oil now. Those who are using the “oil” argument are either being disingenuous or not thinking through all of the issues (being stupidly short-sighted).
  • Stabilizing Iraq is going to be a long and difficult project, whose duration will be measured in multiple decades. The British failed, the French failed, and even the Ottoman Turks failed. The US has a chance for success but it won’t happen in six months, or even in six years.
  • Should this attempt at making a sovriegn Iraqi government fail then the US, to fulfill it’s obligation to the Iraqi people, needs to consider making Iraq a US Protectorate until such time as the Iraqi people can get their shit together enough. This includes ruthless suppression of violent inssurection, which the US is also historically quite good at (Native Americans).
  • Even if this attempt succedes, US troops will need to remain in Iraq for at least ten years, until local peace keeping forces become sufficiently trained and competent. You cannot build successful traditions overnight, any more than you can hurry compost. Some things simply take time to do. This is similar to what the US had to do with Japan. Japan, over fifty years later, is still dependent on US troops for their national security.

In short, I simply do not see the US being, in good conscience, able to leave Iraq any time soon.

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Oct 25 2005

and the Great Lord Vulcan smote with his hammer …

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From this article.

But I especially like this quote;

Unlike other threats to mankind — asteroids, nuclear attacks and global warming to name a few — there’s little to be done about a super volcano.

Like we can do anything about Global Warming either. This only shows the foolishness of compartmentalized science. These vulcanologists don’t look at climatological effects any more than climatologists look at volcanic effects.

We need a few earthquakes to shake up a few Ivory Towers.

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Oct 25 2005

I doubt that this will slow down the eco-nazis

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But scientists are finally coming around to the idea that they really don’t know what they are talking about vis-vis Global Warming.

Scientists don’t know much about how sunlight interacts with our planet, and until they understand it, they can’t accurately predict any possible effects of human activity on climate change.

This is a good first step. Finally, they are starting to show some sense, rather than running around blaming it all on our civilization.

Charlson says scientists understand to within 10 percent the impact of human
activity on the production of greenhouse gases, things like carbon dioxide and
methane that act like blanket to trap heat and, in theory, contribute to global
warming. Yet their grasp of the human impact on albedo could be off by as much
as 100 percent
, he fears.

Duh, a junior high school kid could make that observation! There is also the impact of both greenhouse gases and particulate matter expelled from volcanoes, on both the greenhouse and its albedo. Yes, particulate matter reflects or blocks, increasing albedo. Greenhouse gases retain what gets through. High albedo with high GH gases, in the right proportions net out to zero, which is obviously not the case. I suspect they will find that GH gas emissions, by volcanoes, far excede particulate expulsions. Combine that with an increase in solar output and we get slowly cooked, regardless of what our civilization does.

However, some twits, like Robert Charlson, a University of Washington atmospheric scientist, haven’t yet got the volcano connection. While he says;

“If we don’t understand the albedo-related effects then we can’t understand the effects of greenhouse gases.”

He also says;

One theory is that if humans pump out more aerosols, the small particles will work to reflect sunlight and offset global warming. Charlson calls that “a spurious argument, a red herring.”

In other words, he still considers human civ to be the sole source of such atmospheric pollution. The funniest part of that is that he lives and works in Washington State, the site of Mount St. Helens, one of the 172 active volcanoes in the US. All he has to do is to look up and see how much crud that thing is spewing on a 24×7 basis. But maybe that’s why, he sees it everyday and filters it out of his brain.

One thing I can agree with though is;

Grasping the situation is crucial, because if the climate warms as many expect, seas could rise enough to swamp many coastal communities by the end of this century.
[Note that, the linked article makes the same stupid assumption, that humans are the sole source of GH gases.]

The only real issue is what to do about it. We can’t even measurably delay it. It would be exactly like King Canute trying to stop the incoming tide. We either get out of the way or we drown but, there is no way to stop it.

PS. Every climatologist I know of will carefully explain the effect that volcanoes had on ending the various ice ages. They will even explain the interaction between that factor and solar output. Some of them will even point out the possible effects of the eruption of Krakatoa in assisting us out of the last mini ice age, in 1890 (the warming trend from that is still continuing and is, in fact, the current warming trend that everyone calls Global Warming, these days).

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